Timeframe
2010–2013
Funding
Health Research Council of New Zealand
COMPASS staff
Peter Davis
Roy Lay-Yee
Janet Pearson
Oliver Mannion
Gerry Cotterell
Martin von Randow
Jessica McLay
Collaborators
University of Auckland
Ngaire Kerse
Andrew Sporle
David O’Sullivan
National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling
Laurie Brown
Description
The Balance of Care in an Ageing Society (BCASO) project extended the earlier Primary Care in an Ageing Society (PCASO) work with new modules focused on:
- the balance of care in terms of areas of focus, geography, and roles and responsibilities; and
- the impact of of long-term, disabling, and chronic conditions, especially those affecting older people.
Both BCASO and PCASO were set against the context of a changing demographic shape in New Zealand. Birth rates were declining to sub-replacement levels while life expectancy steadily increased, and the outcome of this duality has to be a significant increase in the proportion of the population in the older age groups. This had prompted discussion about the likely impacts on service delivery for that sector of society, and modelling enabled us to look at different possibilities around health expectancy – how much of the increased life expectancy would be spent in good health, and how much would be a time of significant morbidity, disability, and dependency?
Presentations
September 2014
Rebalancing Health and Social Care for Older People: Simulating Policy Options for an Ageing Society
Roy Lay-Yee, Janet Pearson, Peter Davis, Ngaire Kerse – New Zealand Association of Gerontology Conference 2014, Auckland